Earth 2020: three outcomes to global warming

4th Dec, 2006

Let’s assume that “global warming” is the hoax that I think it is. What happens when, sometime around 2020, no evidence of global warming (as a historically unique trend) is found? The following scenarios are three plausible outcomes to the “global warming” crisis.

A) The Fraud Discredited
Politicians and the scientific community admit their error. Environmentalist regulations and environmental agencies are cut back or eliminated. The hundreds of think-tanks, non-profits, and lobbying agencies that survive on the profits from the environmentalist hysteria voluntarily disband.

B) A disaster narrowly averted
Continual improvements in solar power or another renewable technology make it more cost efficient than fossil-fuel based power. The market gradually changes until solar power is dominant.
Politicians proclaim victory, and praise the regulatory state and state-coerced green energy. They stress the need for continual vigilance as they look around for a new crisis to bankroll their campaigns.

C) A self-fulfilling prophecy
Faced with a lack of evidence for global warming, environmentalists focus instead on random climate variation and natural disasters under the banner of “climate change,” which can conveniently be blamed for heat waves, cold fronts, hurricanes, and even tsunamis. The draconian regulatory state gradually erodes the wealth producing capacity of industry, thus destroying the only tool man has to deal with nature’s fury. The EPA/ /DOJ wrecks the economy, FDA causes plagues, and the FCC makes sure the party line gets coverage. The Son of Kyoto shifts energy production and industry from relatively clean, developed nations to environmentally irresponsible developing ones. Innovations in energy production/consumption become prohibitively expensive to get past the regulatory state.
By 2020, nature is unpredictable as ever, but our ability to deal with it is crippled by the state. Politicians seize upon the global havoc they unleashed as proof of the need for further regulation.

Which outcome is most likely? Very likely, it will be a combination of all three. Which one is pre-eminent depends on your estimate of the world’s sanity.

Posted by: David

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Responses

Which outcome is most likely?

Probably, as you say, all three. If not then C.

By: Kane Bunce on December 4th, 2006
at 9:10 pm

Global warming is not a hoax; the answer is as simple as that! The earth has always gone through climate changes; the question is what effect are humans having on the environment. I think your explanations for what will happen, if global warming is decided to have been a hoax, are much to politically charged. This is really the environmental problem, and social problem at the core. For your information, the temperature is steadily rising and it only takes a few degrees for the ocean to be dangerously affected by this (and therefore the world). Politics are not the important issue; the question is are we taking care of our one and only home? I am not a raging environmentalist, but the danger is there and anyone who assumes global warming is a “hoax” is horribly mistaken!

By: Meag on December 8th, 2006
at 5:49 pm

I wrote a nice reply, and when I hit “submit”, the operation failed and my message was lost. Notes to self: 1) should have learned by now to always cut-and-paste long responses and never write them directly into browser fields, and 2) don’t trust the work of a programmer who is wrong about global warming

I submit that your post reflects wishful thinking and argumentum ad ignorantium. The term “hoax” suggests intent; is there also paranoia at work here?

I welcome your merciless retort

By: Jason Ross on December 12th, 2006
at 11:09 pm

A Hoax or not a hoax…I thing is for sure, we are creating way to much pollution and are dependent upon oil.

I think the real issue is how can we all do our part to better take care of what we have. Better take care of ourselves and our neighbors.

How can we look at how we consume and use and find better ways instead of debating it.

Enough talk…lets see if we can come up with simple ways to start creating less waste and pollution…if we all focus on that, we will see changes.

By: Sam on September 19th, 2007
at 7:58 pm

If in 2020 global warming is proven to be a hoax…true environmentalists will NOT CARE! Improved technology, more efficient products and transportation, less smog and pollution, more recycling, less affluenza, less stress on landfills and natural resources…these are GOOD things. Duh???? It would be one of those no harm no foul “hoaxes” unless you are a conservative of course….then it would be horrific.

By: Tiffany on December 3rd, 2007
at 5:39 pm

There is not to be what you think or what you believe. Its whats going to more than likely put an end to all of humans. Fraud, there is no fraud no errors in life. Only patience. Patience is the key to everything! People always try to find the quickest way to make everything easier and didn’t have the patience to stop and think of the effect only took what they were accomplishing for to find out what made or makes live easier. Everything else stands behind patience Understanding, value, responsibility, etc. For example lazy people haha lazy people get up and walk don’t think u can just drive. (lets try to do the normal) which mean environmental! “to me” i myself am not conservative and was not environmental, but as a person i have seen the effect of people mistakes and for those i mean those who came up with cars, guns, light=energy of first degree, trains, etc that is causing this effects on earth and that might destroy the upcoming human race. I believe seeing the changes on earth so quickly in a little of time is good enough for us to see as patience, which means patience is no longer needed but should be taken and its time for us to take responsibility for others mistakes. its time to start understanding that two wrongs don’t make a right, and we need to value live more; more since we can bring the days closer to and end and reverse what we can. Being strong is what is left. walk, try to handle hot days or cold days as much as u can possible with out having to use a/c pr heaters unless its life threating. Switch to green energy, stand by energy star products. Stand against construction if bringing down trees is involved. well i could go on and on but just have patience for one day or two and look around even if it might take you a whole summer i will tell you it wouldn’t even take you a year to realize and you will hear and see the difference of global warming effects. So best bet is patience is no longer needed but to be taken and start understanding and take responsibility and value life.”ACT NOW, MAKE A CHANGE, AND SAVE LIFE IN THIS WORLD”